Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Kentucky
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#183
Pace72.4#63
Improvement+5.7#17

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#243
Improvement+5.4#14

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
Improvement+0.3#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four99.7% n/a n/a
First Round60.5% n/a n/a
Second Round1.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 62   Saint Joseph's L 61-72 29%     0 - 1 -6.9 -14.8 +8.5
  Nov 14, 2011 165   Tennessee St. W 52-49 57%     1 - 1 -0.3 -19.6 +19.4
  Nov 17, 2011 94   Tulsa L 49-65 26%     1 - 2 -10.8 -21.9 +11.4
  Nov 18, 2011 85   LSU L 57-76 24%     1 - 3 -13.2 -11.3 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2011 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-69 18%     1 - 4 +3.3 -1.0 +4.1
  Nov 23, 2011 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 45-68 27%     1 - 5 -18.1 -18.8 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2011 297   SE Louisiana W 72-67 84%     2 - 5 -7.0 -5.1 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2011 42   Murray St. L 59-70 24%     2 - 6 -5.1 -5.2 -0.8
  Dec 04, 2011 126   Bowling Green W 60-53 46%     3 - 6 +6.4 -14.4 +20.6
  Dec 07, 2011 217   @ Southern Illinois W 62-55 43%     4 - 6 +7.4 -10.3 +17.7
  Dec 10, 2011 194   @ IUPUI L 76-84 38%     4 - 7 -6.4 -5.5 -0.4
  Dec 17, 2011 238   Furman L 63-76 73%     4 - 8 -20.9 -8.2 -13.6
  Dec 23, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 60-70 6%     4 - 9 +6.5 +0.0 +6.5
  Dec 29, 2011 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 76-71 OT 70%     5 - 9 1 - 0 -2.1 -2.9 +0.8
  Dec 31, 2011 231   Florida International L 63-81 71%     5 - 10 1 - 1 -25.2 -15.7 -8.7
  Jan 05, 2012 198   Louisiana L 70-72 OT 64%     5 - 11 1 - 2 -7.3 -7.6 +0.5
  Jan 07, 2012 267   Troy L 65-67 78%     5 - 12 1 - 3 -11.6 -15.1 +3.4
  Jan 12, 2012 159   @ North Texas L 67-84 30%     5 - 13 1 - 4 -12.9 -6.5 -5.3
  Jan 15, 2012 79   @ Denver L 65-78 15%     5 - 14 1 - 5 -3.2 +4.6 -9.8
  Jan 21, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 65-53 61%     6 - 14 2 - 5 +7.5 -4.8 +12.9
  Jan 26, 2012 208   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-67 40%     6 - 15 2 - 6 +0.0 -3.4 +3.4
  Jan 28, 2012 231   @ Florida International W 61-51 46%     7 - 15 3 - 6 +9.6 -14.9 +23.9
  Feb 04, 2012 205   South Alabama W 75-66 65%     8 - 15 4 - 6 +3.5 +8.0 -3.5
  Feb 09, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-72 11%     8 - 16 4 - 7 +3.6 -6.9 +11.2
  Feb 11, 2012 267   @ Troy L 77-83 55%     8 - 17 4 - 8 -8.8 -8.2 +0.0
  Feb 16, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic W 64-57 66%     9 - 17 5 - 8 +1.2 -8.5 +10.0
  Feb 18, 2012 205   @ South Alabama L 61-66 39%     9 - 18 5 - 9 -3.7 -14.5 +11.1
  Feb 23, 2012 193   Arkansas St. W 79-76 64%     10 - 18 6 - 9 -2.1 +1.4 -3.6
  Feb 25, 2012 54   Middle Tennessee W 73-67 27%     11 - 18 7 - 9 +10.8 +6.0 +5.0
  Mar 03, 2012 231   Florida International W 67-63 59%     12 - 18 +0.2 -6.0 +6.2
  Mar 04, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 68-63 48%     13 - 18 +4.0 -3.3 +7.2
  Mar 05, 2012 79   Denver W 67-63 23%     14 - 18 +10.4 +3.3 +7.6
  Mar 06, 2012 159   North Texas W 74-70 42%     15 - 18 +4.7 +6.4 -1.5
Projected Record 15.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0